Brazil is 99% in the playoffs, Canada has minimal chances.
Two rounds were played in the group stage of the Olympic tournament. Slovenia, Italy, France, Poland, and the USA have already secured an early spot in the quarterfinals of the tournament after winning two matches each. For the remaining teams, everything will be decided on Friday and Saturday.
We remind you that the two best teams from each group and the two third-placed teams with the best records advance to the knockout stage. The first tie-breaker is the number of wins, the second is the number of points, and the third is the game ratio.
Brazil
Options:
1. Victory against Egypt with 3:0 or 3:1
The Brazilians played five sets with Poland (2:3), and this point won will allow them to leave the "group of death". There is no doubt that Bernardo Rezende's team will cope with the Egyptians, who, in their matches against Italy and Poland, only once exceeded the 20-point mark per match. Of course, miracles happen in sports, but a sensation of the century is hard to believe. Therefore, we will reserve a place in the quarterfinals for the Brazilians.
We will assume that Brazil, after defeating the Africans with a 3:1 result, will have 4 points and their game ratio will be 6:7 (0.85). Serbia will not catch up with them even with a 3:0 victory over Canada - the game ratio for the Balkan team will be 5:6 (0.83).
Japan
Options:
1. Victory over the USA with any score
2. Loss to the USA with 2:3
3. Loss to the USA 1:3 and 0:3, provided that Germany previously lost to Argentina 1:3 and 0:3
4. Loss to the USA 1:3 and 0:3, provided that Canada beats Serbia
5. Loss to the USA with 1:3, provided that Serbia beats Canada
6. Loss to the USA with 0:3, provided that Serbia beats Canada with 3:0
The Japanese took a huge step towards the playoffs with their victory over Argentina. The Asians have ambitions for medals, but for now, they are playing quite inconsistently. In the match against the USA, they need to take two sets, but even if everything doesn't go according to plan, there's a good chance to sneak into the playoffs. Keep in mind that the Japanese will play their match after the Argentina-Germany match, knowing the temporary standings in their group.
Germany
Options:
1. Victory over Argentina with any score
2. Loss to Argentina by 2:3
3. Loss to Argentina by 1:3, provided Canada defeats Serbia
4. Loss to Argentina by 1:3, provided Serbia defeats Canada by 3:2
The Germans not only defeated Japan (3:2), but also scored quite a few points in the match against the USA (2:3), which made their position very strong before the final round. In case of a clean victory over Argentina, the DFB team under certain circumstances could even claim first place in the group. Michal Winiarski's team can reach the playoffs even with a 1:3 loss, but then they will have to expend a lot of nerves watching the Canada – Serbia match.

Serbia
Options:
1. Victory over Canada by 3:0, provided Germany has previously lost to Argentina by 0:3 or 1:3
2. Victory over Canada by 3:1, provided Germany has previously lost to Argentina by 0:3
3. Victory over Canada by 3:0, provided Japan has previously lost to the USA by 0:3 and has dropped to 3rd place in the group
After two defeats, the Serbs will find it difficult to get out of the group, but one point won in the match against France (2:3) leaves a chance. The Balkan team can only hope that Germany will not score points. At the same time, the Serbs themselves will have to take three points in the match against Canada, which will close the group stage of the Olympics. There is also another option for the Serbs - Germany to win, and Japan to cleanly defeat the USA.
Argentina
Options:
1. Victory over Germany by 3:0, provided Serbia defeats Canada by 3:2
2. Victory over Germany by 3:0, provided Canada defeats Serbia by 3:2 or 3:1
3. Victory over Germany by 3:0, provided Canada defeats Serbia by 3:0*
In the third option, there will be a tie between Canada and Argentina in terms of wins and game ratio - then points will have to be counted. The main thing, however, is to defeat a strong Germany with a clean score.

Canada
Option:
1. Victory over Serbia by 3:0, provided Argentina has previously defeated Germany by 3:0 (and then points are counted)
Tuomas Sammelvuo's team has only one option - to pray for a clean victory for Argentina over Germany. And with such luck, they must cleanly beat Serbia with a good point difference.
Remaining matches
August 2, Friday
10:00* Argentina \u2013 Germany
14:00 Brazil \u2013 Egypt
18:00 France \u2013 Slovenia
22:00 Japan \u2013 USA
August 3, Saturday
18:00 Poland \u2013 Italy
22:00 Canada \u2013 Serbia
photos : volleyballworld.com
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